Utility Tuesday: 60% Revenue Growth, $5.5M Insider Adds, and 8% FCF Yields in Gas
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Sign in →6. Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)
EV/EBITDA: 10.8 | Interest coverage: 6.4x | 52w drawdown: 8.3%
Valero posts a 7.1% free cash flow yield, the second-strongest behind CNX, and trades only 8.3% below its 52-week high with 14.6% insider buying activity over six months totaling 203,843 net shares added. The company pays a 2% dividend and analysts see 4.1% upside to a $246.67 target.
Revenue fell 5.5% year-over-year, the 10-year normalized earnings yield is negative 1.1%, and the P/E of 31.3 is the second-highest multiple on this screen. Gross margin sits at 4.4%, refining's structurally thin spread, and the EV/EBITDA at 10.8 prices in strong crack spread assumptions.
Jefferies lifted its price target to $290 from $272 with a buy rating, and Piper Sandler also raised targets, citing expected outstanding earnings growth despite the weak top-line trend.
7. Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)
EV/EBITDA: 11.5 | Interest coverage: 69.4x | 52w drawdown: 16.0%
Exxon covers interest 69 times, the strongest coverage on this screen, and added 1,061,250 net insider shares over six months with 43% buy activity against 0.8% selling. The company pays a 2.8% dividend on a 3.8% FCF yield and carries net debt at 0.67x EBITDA with an 11.1% ROIC.
Darrin Talley bought shares on March 17, and analysts assign a $162.71 target, 9.8% above the $148.22 price. Short interest is 1.3% of the float, the lowest on this screen, and the 16% drawdown places the stock in the "strong entry" zone.
Revenue declined 4.5% and the 10-year normalized earnings yield sits at 0.24%, the second-lowest here, signaling valuation elevated relative to long-cycle profitability despite the cash generation and fortress balance sheet.
8. Baker Hughes Company (BKR)
EV/EBITDA: 13.8 | Interest coverage: 14.0x | 52w drawdown: 7.3%
Baker Hughes added 531,275 net insider shares over six months with 1.32% buy activity, and the company posts an 11.2% ROIC while covering interest 14 times. Net debt is 0.64x EBITDA, revenue is flat at -0.3%, and the stock trades 7.3% below its 52-week peak.
Maria Borras bought shares on March 18, and RBC raised its price target to $68 from $63 with an outperform rating. Baker Hughes secured a major order with the San Matias Pipeline, and analysts see 0.9% upside to a $62.67 target, the tightest spread on this screen.
The P/E of 23.9 is the highest multiple here, the EV/EBITDA at 13.8 is double CNX's valuation, and the 10-year normalized earnings yield is negative 0.09%, pricing in oilfield services recovery that the flat revenue trend has yet to confirm.
What to Watch
- First Solar Q1 2026 earnings in the next two weeks; RBC flagged shares as range-bound near term, and the 29% drawdown sets up for a sharp move on any beat or guide revision.
- CNX and EQT natural gas realizations through April; gas prices remain volatile, and both names carry the highest short interest (14.7% and 3%) among energy names here, creating squeeze potential if commodity fundamentals tighten.
- Valero and Exxon refining margins into Q1 earnings season; crude-to-product crack spreads are the swing factor for both, and analyst target lifts from Jefferies and Bernstein signal conviction despite negative revenue growth.
- Baker Hughes pipeline orders beyond San Matias; the company's valuation at 13.8x EBITDA depends on oilfield services recovery, and the flat revenue trend needs confirmation from new contract wins.
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