Utility Tuesday: 60% Revenue Growth, $7.7M Insider Adds, 10% FCF Yields in Gas
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Sign in →6. Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)
EV/EBITDA: 10.2 | Interest coverage: 6.4x | 52w drawdown: 11.8%
Diesel prices spiked 50% in recent weeks, a tailwind that flows directly through Valero's refining margins and FCF generation. The company yields 7.4% on free cash flow and pays a 2.1% dividend, leaving substantial room for buybacks or special returns if crack spreads hold through summer driving season.
Insiders added $5.7 million net over six months, with a 14.6% buy rate versus 1.2% selling. That concentration suggests management views the 11.8% drawdown as temporary and expects refining economics to remain favorable.
Revenue fell 5.5% year-over-year, and the 10-year normalized earnings yield is negative at -0.95%, flagging the cyclicality embedded in refining. If diesel demand softens or crude differentials narrow, the current 30x multiple will compress quickly.
7. Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)
EV/EBITDA: 11.2 | Interest coverage: 69.4x | 52w drawdown: 16.8%
Exxon's balance sheet is the strongest on the screen: 69x interest coverage, net debt at 0.67x EBITDA, and 11% ROIC that reflects operational scale across upstream, downstream, and chemicals. The 17% drawdown puts shares back within striking distance of value territory, and analysts see 12.3% upside to the $164.79 consensus target.
Insiders added $7.1 million net over six months, the largest dollar total on the screen. The 43.3% buy rate versus 0.8% selling is the widest spread among all eight names, signaling conviction that the current dip is temporary. More than 1 million shares moved into insider hands during the period.
Revenue declined 4.5% year-over-year, and the 10-year normalized earnings yield of 0.3% reflects exposure to commodity volatility and the capital intensity required to maintain production across global assets. Wolfe Research downgraded the stock after the recent rally, arguing shares are now fairly valued and lack near-term catalysts.
8. Baker Hughes Company (BKR)
EV/EBITDA: 13.1 | Interest coverage: 14.0x | 52w drawdown: 10.8%
Baker Hughes sits at the service end of the energy complex, with 11% ROIC and 4.3% FCF yield that benefit from rising U.S. drilling activity and international LNG project commitments. The company's exposure to energy transition technologies and industrial gas turbines provides diversification beyond traditional oilfield services.
Insiders added $7.7 million net over six months, the second-largest dollar total after Exxon. The 1.32-to-0.77 buy-to-sell ratio shows active participation on both sides, but the net accumulation of 531,275 shares signals confidence in the oilfield services cycle extending into 2027.
Revenue was flat year-over-year, and the 10-year normalized earnings yield of 0.07% reflects cyclicality and capital intensity. If upstream spending moderates or international project delays accelerate, BKR's multiple will compress ahead of peers with direct commodity exposure.
What to Watch
• EQT earnings (week of April 28): the 60% revenue growth and ESOP shelf questions collide; FCF conversion and guidance on capital allocation will determine whether the 21% analyst upside holds.
• FOMC meeting May 6-7: any shift in rate guidance affects the yield spread calculus for energy FCF yields; a hawkish hold or cut delay would compress multiples across the sector.
• First Solar Q1 results (expected late April): the 33% drawdown and net insider selling make the next guidance update critical; any revision to 2026 module shipments or IRA credit assumptions will move the stock.
• Diesel crack spreads through June: Valero's thesis hinges on sustained refining margins; weekly EIA data on distillate inventories and export demand will signal whether the recent spike has legs.
Go Deeper
The utility screener isolates high-FCF names with insider buying, strong balance sheets, and earnings yields that beat the 10-year Treasury.
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