ETFriday: Six-Week Korea Streak and 372bp Bank Spreads at 12× Earnings
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Sign in →6. State Street SPDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE)
3y annualized return: 8.00% | Life annualized return: 8.00% | 52w drawdown: -13.9%
KBE trades at 12.6× earnings with a 357 basis-point spread to Treasuries, slightly tighter than KRE but still offering a 7.9% earnings yield, while the fund is down 14% from its 52-week high.
24/7 Wall St. calls the rate shift one of this year's strongest trades, while Barron's notes Morgan Stanley and Bank of America leading a sector comeback, even as the magazine asks whether banks are signaling a recession.
The one-year trend is just 0.1%, identical to KRE, and the 14% drawdown does not yet provide a deep entry point; you are buying into a sector that is pricing recession risk but not yet clearing it.
7. WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund (DXJ)
3y annualized return: 13.28% | Life annualized return: 13.28% | 52w drawdown: -7.0%
DXJ trades at 15.4× earnings with a 213 basis-point spread to Treasuries, the tightest drawdown in this week's list at just 7%, while delivering 13.3% annualized returns since inception.
Zacks highlights Japan inflation cooling for a fourth straight month, a macro tailwind for equity returns, while the fund appears in multiple "Time for Japan ETFs" pieces as currency-hedged exposure gains traction.
The 7% drawdown is mild, and the one-year trend is just 0.2%, which means you are not buying into a dislocated entry; the setup here is a macro bet on yen stability and Japanese earnings growth, not a deep-value opportunity.
8. Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF (AVEM)
3y annualized return: 11.09% | Life annualized return: 11.09% | 52w drawdown: -7.3%
AVEM trades at 12.8× earnings with a 346 basis-point spread to Treasuries, the second-widest in the emerging-market cohort, while the fund is down just 7% from its 52-week high.
24/7 Wall St. frames 2026 as the year to pick your emerging-market ETF carefully, while Zacks asks whether EM ETFs should play a bigger role in portfolios, both pieces suggesting active interest in the category.
The one-year trend is just 0.2%, and the 7% drawdown does not provide a material margin of safety; you are buying a valuation spread here, not a dislocation.
What to Watch
• Korea Kospi momentum: EWY has held the top Pixie Rank for six weeks, and any break above 7,000 on the index or semiconductor order data from Samsung or SK Hynix will test whether the 127bp spread can tighten further.
• Regional bank earnings: KRE and KBE both trade at 12–13× with 350+ bp spreads, and the next wave of earnings from PNC, Fifth Third, and KeyCorp will clarify whether commercial real-estate reserves are stabilizing or still building.
• Homebuilder sales data: XHB is down 16% with a 237bp spread, and the next round of monthly sales reports from D.R. Horton, Pulte, and NVR will determine whether the sector is bottoming or still deteriorating.
• Clean-power policy signals: CNRG trades at 22.5× with minimal spread, so any shift in renewable-energy subsidies, tariffs on solar imports, or grid-infrastructure spending will move the fund more than earnings revisions.
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