Utility Tuesday: Oil and Gas Insiders Add $6M While FCF Yields Hit 8%
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Sign in →6. Chevron Corporation (CVX)
EV/EBITDA: 10.9 | Interest coverage: 17.2x | 52w drawdown: 12%
Chevron pays a 3.8% dividend yield with 17.2x interest coverage and a 4.4% free cash flow yield. Analysts see 14.9% upside to $216 from the current $188, supported by recent project advances in Argentina's Vaca Muerta unconventional oil basin.
The company trades at 32.8x earnings with a negative 10-year normalized earnings yield of -1.4%, the weakest valuation on the list. Revenue fell 4.6% year-over-year and the 30% gross margin lags EOG by half.
Three insiders purchased in late May: Marillyn Hewson, John Frank, and Dambisa Moyo, all on May 29. Six-month insider activity logged $5 million, though net shares declined 391,278 due to heavier selling. July 31 earnings expect $5.23 per share.
7. Baker Hughes Company (BKR)
EV/EBITDA: 13.0 | Interest coverage: 14.0x | 52w drawdown: 9%
Baker Hughes carries near-zero net debt (0.05x EBITDA) and posted $7.6 million in insider buys over six months, acquiring 512,638 net shares. The 12.8% ROIC and 4% free cash flow yield reflect oilfield services leverage to upstream activity.
Three insiders purchased in May: Michael Dumais, Shirley Ann Edwards, and Mohsen Sohi, all on May 21. Insider buying represented 1.3% of transactions, with selling at 0.78%.
Revenue declined 0.3% year-over-year and analysts assign an 11.5% upside target to $71.52, signaling modest expectations for the cycle. The 20.5x P/E sits above the 10x to 14x range seen in pure-play producers. July 21 earnings expect $0.47 per share.
8. Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)
EV/EBITDA: 11.9 | Interest coverage: 69.4x | 52w drawdown: 15%
Exxon carries 69x interest coverage, the strongest balance sheet on the list, and pays a 2.7% dividend yield. Analysts see 13.2% upside to $169.91 from the current $150.
The 25.2x P/E and negative 10-year normalized earnings yield of -0.5% place this name in the expensive half of the screen. Revenue fell 4.5% year-over-year and the 22% gross margin trails EOG by 41 percentage points.
Jeffrey Ubben purchased shares on May 27. Six-month insider activity logged $5 million with 32,250 net shares added. July 31 earnings expect $3.73 per share on $104.2 billion revenue.
What to Watch
• July 21: EQT, EOG, and Baker Hughes report earnings. EQT's $0.56 estimate will test whether the 60% revenue growth translates into margin expansion; EOG's ROIC trajectory matters more than the top-line miss.
• July 30–31: Valero, Chevron, and Exxon report within 24 hours. Valero's $9.93 EPS estimate on $38.7 billion revenue will confirm whether refining spreads stabilized; Chevron's Vaca Muerta update and Exxon's volume guidance set the tone for H2 upstream activity.
• August 4–6: MPLX and ConocoPhillips close the earnings window. MPLX's $1.17 unit estimate and any distribution coverage commentary will drive the 7.8% yield's sustainability; ConocoPhillips' $2.88 estimate tests the 22% analyst upside case.
• Insider activity: Watch for follow-on buys at EQT (583,874 net shares added) and Baker Hughes (512,638 net shares), where purchasing already crossed half a million shares in six months.
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