ETFriday: Sweden at 6% Yields While Emerging Markets Own the Top Four Ranks
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Sign in →The 7-basis-point yield spread over the 10-year Treasury sits near zero, offering no margin for error if rates climb, and the 0.16 percent one-year trend flags flat momentum after months of sector rotation out of energy into tech.
MT Newswires reported equity futures higher pre-bell Friday amid new U.S. tariffs, a backdrop that typically pressures energy on demand concerns, yet XLE held a sub-6 percent drawdown, signaling resilient institutional flows into the sector.
6. SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
3y annualized return: n/a | Life annualized return: 6.10% | 52w drawdown: -27.20%
The $371 price sits 27 percent below the 52-week peak, the deepest discount in the screener and a strong-entry signal for contrarian buyers. MT Newswires noted gold holding above $4,000 per ounce despite inflation worries, a level that historically supports physical positioning into year-end.
The 2.18 price-to-book sits above every other name in the cohort, and the absence of earnings yield or FCF yield data means the fund's return profile relies entirely on spot-price momentum, a structural weakness when real rates climb.
The 0.10 percent one-year trend signals flat momentum, and any further dollar strength pressures gold from here, a dynamic that broke the metal's 2025 rally and left GLD 27 percent below peak despite macro anxiety.
7. Vanguard Communication Services Index Fund ETF Shares (VOX)
3y annualized return: n/a | Life annualized return: 8.52% | 52w drawdown: -10.65%
The 5.2 percent earnings yield and 8.5 percent life return sit above the screener median, while the $179 price marks an 11 percent drawdown, the first sub-12 percent entry since April. The 19.3 P/E undercuts XLE by 1.6 turns, offering a cheaper multiple for communication-services exposure.
Zacks flagged Alphabet-heavy ETFs after capex concerns offset cloud strength, a setup that weighs on VOX given its concentration in mega-cap tech, while news of a potential Anthropic-Meta AI deal underscores the M&A tailwinds inside the sector. James Murdoch's $300 million acquisition of Vox Media signals private-market confidence in digital-media assets, a data point that supports the fund's life return.
The 49-basis-point yield spread over the 10-year Treasury sits near the bottom of the group, and the 0.5 percent dividend yield offers no income cushion if multiples compress from here.
8. VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX)
3y annualized return: n/a | Life annualized return: 2.72% | 52w drawdown: -36.06%
The 5.9 percent earnings yield and 36 percent drawdown mark this as the deepest discount in the screener, while the 17.0 P/E sits below the group median, offering the cheapest multiple for levered gold exposure. The 117-basis-point yield spread over the 10-year Treasury sits second only to EWD, a signal that miners are pricing in sustained cost pressure.
The 2.7 percent life return lags every other name by at least 300 basis points, and the 36 percent drawdown flags structural weakness in the underlying equities, a pattern that persisted through 2025 despite headline macro anxiety.
24/7 Wall Street noted the 0.40 percent fee drag on GLD returns, a dynamic that applies to GDX as well, and Motley Fool's comparison of physical gold versus mining-stock ETFs underscores the operational leverage that amplifies drawdowns when spot prices correct.
What to Watch
- Emerging-market earnings season begins August 2, with FRDM, IEMG, and AVEM all exposed to Taiwan Semiconductor's AI-capex guidance after NVIDIA's $150 billion Taiwan commitment.
- Sweden's manufacturing PMI prints July 30, a leading indicator for EWD's industrial-heavy portfolio; sub-50 reads historically pressure Scandinavian equities.
- Gold's spot price tests $4,000/oz support over the next two weeks; a break below pressures both GLD and GDX, while a hold above signals contrarian entry.
- Energy sector earnings accelerate through August 15, with XLE's top holdings reporting; free-cash-flow beats historically drive dividend raises, a catalyst for yield-focused flows.
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